By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

— Nate Silver

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

— Nate Silver

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.

— Nate Silver

First, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.

— Nate Silver

In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes' theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined.

— Nate Silver

...the ratings agencies' problem was in being unable or uninterested in appreciating the distinction between risk and uncertainty.

— Nate Silver

Under Bayes' theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing.

— Nate Silver

We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

— Nate Silver

Who needs theory when you have so much information? But this is categorically the wrong attitude to take toward forecasting, especially in a field like economics where the data is so noisy.

— Nate Silver